Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 3.078960 3.583783 4.158055 4.862341 5.706389 6.689846 7.928933
2025-02-09 2.395306 3.063205 3.909962 5.074252 6.652270 8.743571 11.770131
2025-02-16 2.002016 2.720933 3.699374 5.152010 7.294639 10.404376 15.382445
2025-02-23 1.746135 2.490982 3.564143 5.260540 7.945315 12.154651 19.510941
2025-03-02 1.517805 2.252381 3.361376 5.208363 8.310758 13.508621 23.319624
2025-03-09 1.369519 2.105804 3.265455 5.291577 8.888606 15.304967 28.347481
2025-03-16 1.223608 1.939420 3.108612 5.238260 9.207829 16.695948 32.976599
2025-03-23 1.107754 1.804965 2.982329 5.210999 9.558612 18.205578 38.263246
2025-03-30 0.997978 1.666086 2.828000 5.104225 9.730503 19.386524 43.168514
2025-04-06 0.931656 1.594102 2.781177 5.190046 10.298445 21.513818 50.956017
2025-04-13 0.846469 1.478160 2.638661 5.064191 10.396267 22.620356 56.538315
2025-04-20 0.813159 1.453486 2.663995 5.282078 11.284492 25.767225 68.712794
2025-04-27 0.763243 1.401287 2.647969 5.453869 12.213178 29.547598 85.268405
2025-05-04 0.720492 1.359891 2.652796 5.686906 13.390088 34.486333 108.591708
2025-05-11 0.670314 1.296109 2.600171 5.775955 14.227662 38.799564 132.531959
2025-05-18 0.628856 1.244486 2.565182 5.899641 15.194865 43.881016 162.896504
2025-05-25 0.578956 1.168449 2.464684 5.840162 15.635140 47.487691 189.946480
2025-06-01 0.545047 1.122831 2.426700 5.935030 16.561837 53.133568 230.828020
2025-06-08 0.505159 1.059042 2.337039 5.874243 16.996399 57.233014 267.844222
2025-06-15 0.471221 1.004833 2.262997 5.843167 17.524579 61.951772 312.838999
2025-06-22 0.435955 0.943609 2.163602 5.721479 17.720224 65.463637 354.568531
2025-06-29 0.415037 0.913987 2.139913 5.819283 18.720915 72.899996 430.014879
2025-07-06 0.384780 0.858596 2.042659 5.675866 18.806894 76.332171 482.098726